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23 December 2009 @ 05:22 pm
Climategate & That Was The Month That Was, + News  


Confirmation Of The Dependence Of The ERA-40 Reanalysis Data On The Warm Bias In The CRU Data
UPDATE: I was asked to clarify the importance of this post.
The reason that it is important to document the link of ERA-40 to the warm bias in CRU (and thus NCDC and GISS data sets) is that the ERA-40 paper is used to make claims about global and regional warming (with the inference that this is an independent assessment from the surface temperature data trends).
However, the e-mails from Phil Jones show that the surface and ERA-40 analyses are intimately linked. An example of a paper that uses the ERA-40, with its warm surface temperature bias, is Schar et al,2004,
The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves
. Received 15 September; Letter to Nature; accepted 17 December 2003; doi:10.1038/nature02300. Published online 11 January 2004.
The climate science community needs to recognize that the assessment of global warming using the magnitude of the long term trends in surface air temperatures from the CRU, NCDC and GISS analyses, and from ERA-40, overstate the magnitude of this warming.

ORIGINAL POST

There is a remarkable admission in the leaked e-mails from Phil Jones of the dependence of the long term surface temperatures trends in the ERA-40 reanalysis on the surface temperature data from CRU. /more

Also
A Guest Weblog By Will Alexander "Climategate Chaos"
Do The CRU E-Mails Provide Further Documentation Of A Conflict Of Interest In The Preparation Of A CCSP Climate Assessment Report?
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That Mann was on the IPCC panel as well as being part of the CRU climateers' inner sanctum means the IPCC cannot deny knowledge of the dubious nature of the data. Sir J Houghton (Unless we announce disasters no one will listen.)should be under investigation too, as the first co-chair of the IPCC and as co- responsible for the Hadley - CRU setup, he must have had intimate knowledge of the data distortions.
Sir Crispin Tickell – former British Permanent Rep. to the UN and Permanent Rep. on the Security Council, Chairman of the ‘Gaia Society’, Chairman of the Board of the Climate Institute, leading British climate change campaigner should also be in the frame.

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From the Climate Sceptics' web site:
Global Cooling Reality vs. Global Warming Politics
Bienvenido “Nonoy” Oplas, Jr. April 22, 2009

Introduction
It is Earth Day today, a day where people around the world are reminded once more that the Earth is “in danger” – from climate change, from global warming, from too much carbon dioxide (CO2) and greenhouse gases (GHGs), from rising seawater, and so on. Today, the climate change hysteria is further fanned.
On the other hand, this week, if not this whole month, a climate anomaly is showing – cloudy almost everyday, rain showers at least twice a week, tail-end of a cold front until middle of the month, then occurrence of low pressure area along intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) in many parts of the country with threats of flash floods in some provinces. This week for instance, April 20 to 26, 2009, Manila (Airport) temperature range on average (including forecast) is 25° C to 30° C maximum (Source: www.wunderground.com/global/stations/984...).
But this month is one of two hottest months of the year. We are supposed to have lotsof sunlight and cloudless sky. The average maximum temperature for April,
(a) last 21 years was 33° C (Source:www.weatherbase.com/weather/weather.php3...), and
(b) last 11 years, 1998-2008, was 34.8° C (Source: PAGASA/CAB/CADS; thermometer station at Quezon City).
This means that the Philippines, or Metro Manila at least, is experiencing around 3° C cooling in April this year compared to average April temperature over the past 2 decades! / lots more (PDF)

AGW by CO2 Floored

The Green Agenda

Did you expect any other outcome?
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Pajamas TV headlines
UN: Human Life Threatens Climate!

Thursday, December 17th, 2009 - by John Rosenthal
A new UN report reveals the fundamentally misanthropic worldview underlying climate alarmism.
EverGreens: After Failure, Warmists Will Change Hats And Move On
Thursday, December 17th, 2009 - by William M. BriggsYou simply cannot have so many celebrities and political will in one place, and expect them to concede defeat: It is just not in their nature.
Climategate: European Carbon Credit Trading System Plagued by Fraud Thursday, December 17th, 2009 - by Soeren Kern
A main aim of the Copenhagen climate conference is to expand the EU’s fraud- and corruption-plagued carbon trading scheme into a global system for trading carbon.
Cope Notes #1: The Snows of Kilimancrazy
Wednesday, December 16th, 2009 - by Roger L Simon
Leftover, re-upped hippies doing what they do — demonstrating and carrying-on. (Watch Roger's report: The Real Copenhagen: Hippies, Goofballs and Climate, Inc. Also read Claudia Rosett: 10,000 Organic Chickens Bite the Dust for Copenhagen.)
Climategate: Something’s Rotten in Denmark … and East Anglia, Asheville, and New York City (PJM Exclusive)
Tuesday, December 15th, 2009 - by Joseph D'Aleo
The focus belongs not just on CRU, but on all of the organizations which gather temperature data. All now show evidence of fraud.

The politics of climate change
Author: Anthony Giddens

Anthony Giddens - the politics of climate changeIn The Politics of Climate Change, Giddens, the Labour peer and former director of the LSE, controversially argues that we do not have a systematic politics of climate change. While the consequences of climate change are potentially catastrophic, the book argues that for most policymakers and citizens it remains only a latent concern. A “politics-as-usual” approach is, therefore, insufficient to tackle this problem. Yet Giddens also argues that the green movement is too flawed to make a real impact on how we overcome the economic and political challenges in mainstream thinking.
By examining the crucial connections between climate change and energy security, Giddens introduces a range of new concepts and policy proposals to fill this gap, such as “foregrounding”, which refers to the use of the various political devices that can be deployed to keep global warming at the core of the political agenda, or “economic convergence”, which refers to the overlap between low-carbon technologies, forms of business practice and lifestyles with economic competitiveness.

The book grew out of a broader cross-party, interdisciplinary project, organised by Policy Network in association with the LSE’s Centre for the Study of Global Governance, that aims to challenge conventional policy thinking on climate change. Although an international agreement is an essential aspect of an effective global response to climate change, the project’s focus is on the need for more urgent national action and the complex political challenges western democracies will encounter in dramatically reducing their greenhouse gas emissions over the coming decades, if they are going to lead to the rest of the world on this issue.

A copy of the book can be ordered here.
From Wiley
paperback £12.99 / €15.00
hardback £55.00 / €63.30