By Leif Elinder, Anders Romelsjö and Martin Gelin
First posted in Göteborgsposten in Swedish, translated by Siv O'Neall.
Title in Swedish: "Vi måste fjärma oss från Nato om vi vill slippa krig"
Information Clearing House August 20, 2013
The risk of nuclear war has never been greater and it is partly because of NATO rearmament of European countries bordering on Russia. However, these countries will also be targeted if Putin decides to strike back. Thus write three Swedish doctors in an article in Göteborgsposten on Friday August 12.
During the Cuban missile crisis, President Kennedy discussed with his advisors the various options available. One involved a limited attack on Soviet missile bases. Moscow was supposed to accept such a response rather than fight back in a way that would result in the devastation of both the U.S. and the Soviet Union.
During the years from 1950 into the 1980s there was a doctrine of military strategy and national security policy known as MAD (mutual assured destruction). MAD means that if a great power attacks first, it will always be possible for the attacked nation to retaliate. The ability to strike back served as a sufficient deterrent.
The relative security that the MAD doctrine created no longer exists. The U.S. and Russia now mutually accuse each other openly of constituting an "existential threat". The military-strategic balance is becoming increasingly uneven.
The U.S. nuclear rearmament and NATO's encirclement of Russia have created a highly insecure and dangerous world situation. The advantages of having the "first strike" becomes harder to resist. With the support of NATO, Romania and Poland are now installing a new American "defense" robot system called "Aegis Ashore". President Putin has warned the two countries that in case of a military conflict, they will now become the primary objectives. Russia's concern for a disarming first attack appears to be genuine. Whether the concern is well-founded, we can not know. What is crucial to our security are the actual thoughts and plans of each superpower.
The risk has never been greater
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