December 23rd, 2009

Climategate & That Was The Month That Was, + News


Confirmation Of The Dependence Of The ERA-40 Reanalysis Data On The Warm Bias In The CRU Data
UPDATE: I was asked to clarify the importance of this post.
The reason that it is important to document the link of ERA-40 to the warm bias in CRU (and thus NCDC and GISS data sets) is that the ERA-40 paper is used to make claims about global and regional warming (with the inference that this is an independent assessment from the surface temperature data trends).
However, the e-mails from Phil Jones show that the surface and ERA-40 analyses are intimately linked. An example of a paper that uses the ERA-40, with its warm surface temperature bias, is Schar et al,2004,
The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves
. Received 15 September; Letter to Nature; accepted 17 December 2003; doi:10.1038/nature02300. Published online 11 January 2004.
The climate science community needs to recognize that the assessment of global warming using the magnitude of the long term trends in surface air temperatures from the CRU, NCDC and GISS analyses, and from ERA-40, overstate the magnitude of this warming.

ORIGINAL POST

There is a remarkable admission in the leaked e-mails from Phil Jones of the dependence of the long term surface temperatures trends in the ERA-40 reanalysis on the surface temperature data from CRU. /more

Also
A Guest Weblog By Will Alexander "Climategate Chaos"
Do The CRU E-Mails Provide Further Documentation Of A Conflict Of Interest In The Preparation Of A CCSP Climate Assessment Report?
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That Mann was on the IPCC panel as well as being part of the CRU climateers' inner sanctum means the IPCC cannot deny knowledge of the dubious nature of the data. Sir J Houghton (Unless we announce disasters no one will listen.)should be under investigation too, as the first co-chair of the IPCC and as co- responsible for the Hadley - CRU setup, he must have had intimate knowledge of the data distortions.
Sir Crispin Tickell – former British Permanent Rep. to the UN and Permanent Rep. on the Security Council, Chairman of the ‘Gaia Society’, Chairman of the Board of the Climate Institute, leading British climate change campaigner should also be in the frame.

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From the Climate Sceptics' web site:
Global Cooling Reality vs. Global Warming Politics
Bienvenido “Nonoy” Oplas, Jr. April 22, 2009

Introduction
It is Earth Day today, a day where people around the world are reminded once more that the Earth is “in danger” – from climate change, from global warming, from too much carbon dioxide (CO2) and greenhouse gases (GHGs), from rising seawater, and so on. Today, the climate change hysteria is further fanned.
On the other hand, this week, if not this whole month, a climate anomaly is showing – cloudy almost everyday, rain showers at least twice a week, tail-end of a cold front until middle of the month, then occurrence of low pressure area along intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) in many parts of the country with threats of flash floods in some provinces. This week for instance, April 20 to 26, 2009, Manila (Airport) temperature range on average (including forecast) is 25° C to 30° C maximum (Source: www.wunderground.com/global/stations/984...).
But this month is one of two hottest months of the year. We are supposed to have lotsof sunlight and cloudless sky. The average maximum temperature for April,
(a) last 21 years was 33° C (Source:www.weatherbase.com/weather/weather.php3...), and
(b) last 11 years, 1998-2008, was 34.8° C (Source: PAGASA/CAB/CADS; thermometer station at Quezon City).
This means that the Philippines, or Metro Manila at least, is experiencing around 3° C cooling in April this year compared to average April temperature over the past 2 decades! / lots more (PDF)

AGW by CO2 Floored

The Green Agenda

Did you expect any other outcome?
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Pajamas TV headlines
UN: Human Life Threatens Climate!

Thursday, December 17th, 2009 - by John Rosenthal
A new UN report reveals the fundamentally misanthropic worldview underlying climate alarmism.
EverGreens: After Failure, Warmists Will Change Hats And Move On
Thursday, December 17th, 2009 - by William M. BriggsYou simply cannot have so many celebrities and political will in one place, and expect them to concede defeat: It is just not in their nature.
Climategate: European Carbon Credit Trading System Plagued by Fraud Thursday, December 17th, 2009 - by Soeren Kern
A main aim of the Copenhagen climate conference is to expand the EU’s fraud- and corruption-plagued carbon trading scheme into a global system for trading carbon.
Cope Notes #1: The Snows of Kilimancrazy
Wednesday, December 16th, 2009 - by Roger L Simon
Leftover, re-upped hippies doing what they do — demonstrating and carrying-on. (Watch Roger's report: The Real Copenhagen: Hippies, Goofballs and Climate, Inc. Also read Claudia Rosett: 10,000 Organic Chickens Bite the Dust for Copenhagen.)
Climategate: Something’s Rotten in Denmark … and East Anglia, Asheville, and New York City (PJM Exclusive)
Tuesday, December 15th, 2009 - by Joseph D'Aleo
The focus belongs not just on CRU, but on all of the organizations which gather temperature data. All now show evidence of fraud.

The politics of climate change
Author: Anthony Giddens

Anthony Giddens - the politics of climate changeIn The Politics of Climate Change, Giddens, the Labour peer and former director of the LSE, controversially argues that we do not have a systematic politics of climate change. While the consequences of climate change are potentially catastrophic, the book argues that for most policymakers and citizens it remains only a latent concern. A “politics-as-usual” approach is, therefore, insufficient to tackle this problem. Yet Giddens also argues that the green movement is too flawed to make a real impact on how we overcome the economic and political challenges in mainstream thinking.
By examining the crucial connections between climate change and energy security, Giddens introduces a range of new concepts and policy proposals to fill this gap, such as “foregrounding”, which refers to the use of the various political devices that can be deployed to keep global warming at the core of the political agenda, or “economic convergence”, which refers to the overlap between low-carbon technologies, forms of business practice and lifestyles with economic competitiveness.

The book grew out of a broader cross-party, interdisciplinary project, organised by Policy Network in association with the LSE’s Centre for the Study of Global Governance, that aims to challenge conventional policy thinking on climate change. Although an international agreement is an essential aspect of an effective global response to climate change, the project’s focus is on the need for more urgent national action and the complex political challenges western democracies will encounter in dramatically reducing their greenhouse gas emissions over the coming decades, if they are going to lead to the rest of the world on this issue.

A copy of the book can be ordered here.
From Wiley
paperback £12.99 / €15.00
hardback £55.00 / €63.30

Useless eulab & Spending & Cutbacks & Climate Wars

The judiciary is owned. £10bn of rip-off overdraft charges won't be refunded 
By Sean Poulter 23rd December 2009
Banks will be able to keep £10billion from rip-off overdraft charges after the Office of Fair Trading abandoned a legal challenge yesterday. Millions of customers have been hit by the charges, with some forced to pay hundreds of pounds just for going a few pence into the red. But the watchdog has decided it can no longer pursue its claim that the fees are unfair after a surprise Supreme Court ruling last month that sided with the banks. Charges remain: Banks will keep the £2.6billion in unauthorised overdraft fees they collected in the past yearThe court said that the OFT had no jurisdiction over the charges and no right to reach a ruling that would have paved the way for customers to claim a refund. Some estimates had suggested that the banks would have faced repaying more than £10billion if they had lost. The OFT's decision was described as a 'huge blow' for consumers yesterday. / continues

Nine die in -16C Arctic Britain as Christmas getaway descends into chaos

How much colder would it have been without global warming?? A stable warm climate is better than an ice age. Shame CO2 doesn't drive the climate. We need more CO2 not less, for the trees.

Children treated for cocaine addiction rises 50% since 2006

It's long past time to legalise cannabis and free up police resources, people made criminal by using a harmless herb should be pardoned to free up gaol space instead of buying it off hardened criminals. 

Bribed to quit Britain: Foreign criminals offered up to £5000 if they agree to go home

Rapists, muggers and burglars are being offered credit cards pre-loaded with cash as part of a package worth up to £5,000 designed to 'bribe' them to leave the UK.

This damned government of idiots, liars, crooks and Brown can't give our public funds (borrowed money) away quickly enough. National debt is well beyond 50% GDP and growing fast. Near enough 100% if the pension commitments are included. The country is on the verge of bankruptcy along with Spain and Ireland.
 
Insolvency soars as record 33,000 people go bankrupt in just three months 
27,000 firms go bust (and the same again are at risk)

AND

Families hit by the worst wages crash in 50 years
Part of the green agenda is the destabilization of western countries by lowering living standards not least by reducing education standards, forcing poverty by whatever means - hiked energy, food and fuel prices, inflation, unemployment and bankruptcies, along with attacks on currencies, gaming the financial markets and excessive immigration of muslims with a proclivity toward overburdening the social security systems and importation of foreign labour all to discredit democracy .

Universities' annual funding reduced by £398m
Universities facing £80 million fines on top of budget cuts
 

No time for thought

Two more politicians facing expenses fraud charges as police hand over new file  Banks, the judiciary, euro and local MPs, climate "scientists", the media, liars, cheats, thieves. I don't know about anarchy but it is a thieves paradise and heaven for con artists not only for the aforementioned, also for the likes of the EU and UN and many duplicitous campaigners and lobbying orgs (paid for with public money and donations) wanting us back in the stone age and using the climate dogma to achieve their evil ends.
Fury over £130million Whitehall bonus payout Fury over £130million Whitehall bonus payout.
The only way to get things back in control of the public is to withhold taxes until the present incumbents that serve the EU are replaced by some that face our way.
Rift between Brown and Mandelson could torpedo Labour election fightback.
The EU's heavy? Probably a diversionary tactic. If not, only good news for those of us who have actually researched and found little other than speculation to support the wild fantasy that the human fraction of 2 parts per million carbon dioxide - the sum including natural emissions - per annum drive the climate.

Climate Wars - please watch the following clips before Steve McIntyre's CNN appearance.
Nopenhagen: The Truth is Missing From the Climate Debate.
Bill Whittle. Was O.J guilty? Then why believe the CO2 dogma?

Climate Contrarians: A Skeptics Review of Climate-Change.
Roger L. Simon - 3rd world delegates admitted they were totally sceptical of the science, they were just there for the dole [from the cash finessed from Europeans by twisters using lies as justification - the UNEP-EU scammers were there for funds too - that the 3rd world likely will never see by the time the world gov project and bent bureaucrats have taken their bite].
Bill Whittle - 3 sets of homogenised data based on 1 set of [NOAA's GHCN] homogenised data... they [100,000 scientists]are all working with garbage...

Stephen McIntyre, Chris Horner & Michael Oppenheimer on climategate. 
Why Barry Jones is wrong
by Bob Carter December 21, 2009
Professor Bob Carter replies to Mr. Barry Jones

On December 8, ABC’s The Drum – Unleashed posted an opinion piece of mine entitled “Kill the IPCC”. As submitted the piece was entitled, a little more gracefully, I think, “The bell tolls for the IPCC” [full text published in Quadrant Online here]. But the essential message can be represented by either heading.
And that the IPCC should be closed down was indeed the essential message that I wished to convey. For during its 20 year-long existence it has done incalculable economic and political damage (which continues in Copenhagen as I write), but above all else it is the damage that the IPCC has inflicted upon Science that concerns me.
Our citizenry used to able to rely upon practitioners of the scientific method to provide dispassionate analysis of the pros and cons of a problem of public concern. But no longer, I fear, as Climategate has recently displayed.
After my article was posted, there ensued a day or so of busy emailing at The Drum, which included the writing of over 500 blog postings. The authors of most of these contributions seemed particularly upset that the ABC had permitted the expression of a climate rationalist viewpoint - and allegedly an ignorant one at that – on the website of what they had hoped was a balanced public broadcaster.
The rush of emails was shortly followed by an article on The Drum by former Labor Science Minister, Mr. Barry Jones, entitled (doubtless by the editor) “Bob Carter’s attack on reason”, which seems to have been intended as a commentary on, and perhaps a reply to, my own original posting. By December 20, Mr Jones’ piece had attracted a further 792 blog comments, most of which supported his views.
In turn, therefore, I now provide this reply to eight of the points that Mr. Jones raises.
1. Mr Jones has the impression that the press are anxious to publish the views of independent climate scientists, saying “How easy it is for climate sceptics to obtain media coverage”. /continues

CCNET newsletter
Dr. Peiser found the following amongst others noteworthy.
CCNet 180/2009 - 22 December 2009

Audiatur et altera pars

AFTER COPENHAGEN: TIME FOR PLAN B
It is now widely recognised that the misguided Copenhagen Conference was a complete failure. Those political leaders and policy makers who refuse to accept this reality are merely burying their heads in the sand and are forfeiting the trust of the public.   
The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 20 December 2009

The world's political leaders, not least President Barack Obama and Prime Minister Gordon Brown, are in a state of severe, almost clinical, denial. They insist that what has been achieved in Copenhagen is a breakthrough and a decisive step forward. Just one more heave, just one more venue for the great climate-change traveling circus - Mexico City next year - and the job will be done. Or so we are told. It is, of course, the purest nonsense. The time has come to abandon the Kyoto-style folly that reached its apotheosis in Copenhagen last week, and move to plan B. 
Nigel Lawson, The Wall Street Journal, 22 December 2009

The biggest losers of the Copenhagen fiasco appear to be climate science and the scientific establishment who, with a very few distinguished exceptions, have promoted unmitigated climate alarm and hysteria. It confirms beyond doubt that most governments have lost trust in the advice given by climate alarmists and the IPCC. The Copenhagen accord symbolises the loss of political power by Europe whose climate policies have been rendered obsolete.
Benny Peiser, The Observer, 20 December 2009 PDF here.

India hailed Tuesday the lack of targets and legally binding measures in the Copenhagen climate accord and vaunted the united front presented by major emerging countries at the chaotic talks. Facing parliament for the first time since the UN talks last weekend in the Danish capital, Environment Minister Jairam Ramesh said India had "come out quite well in Copenhagen". The Copenhagen accord "bears in mind that the social and economic development and poverty eradication are the first and overriding priorities of developing countries," Ramesh said.
AFP, 22 December 2009

Senior Conservatives are to lobby Republicans in the US Senate to persuade them to back a climate emissions Bill. As the Tory leadership struggled to prevent party sceptics from dominating the environmental argument after the Copenhagen summit, David Cameron pledged to continue the work started in Denmark in trying to find a legally binding climate change agreement. Tory environment ministers believe that they can play a role nudging moderate Republicans to support the Bill. Hopes are rising that laws might be agreed before next year's talks in Bonn and Mexico after the Copenhagen accord agreed that emissions reductions will be monitored "with provisions for international consultations and analysis".
Sam Coates, The Times, 22 December 2009

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